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                                                                                                                                                                          电子游戏打鱼:瑞达期货:长假原油走弱 PP震荡走低

                                                                                                                                                                          2019年02月11日 18:51 来源:万维购房网

                                                                                                                                                                          (原标题:瑞达期货:长假原油走弱 PP震荡走低)

                                                                                                                                                                          盘面情况:PP1905震荡下行,终盘中阴线报收。开盘8880,最高报8929,最低报8715,收盘8757,较上一交易日-1.21%;成交量453344,128624;持仓386610,-18988,基差263,+158;PP5-9月价差389,-19。

                                                                                                                                                                          消息:截至2月8日,欧洲丙烯价格涨跌不一,FD西北欧丙烯均价907.5欧元/吨,较前一交易日价格下降5.5欧元/吨。CIF西北欧丙烯均价913.5欧元/吨,较前一交易日价格上涨0.5欧元/吨。亚洲丙烯价格保持平稳,FOB韩国丙烯均价915美元/吨,CFR中国丙烯均价950美元/吨,均与前一交易日持平。

                                                                                                                                                                          现货市场:今日PP出厂价价格稳定,石化暂无降价去库存意向,短期仍以挺价为主。华北市场小幅下跌,华南市场小幅走高。目前下游企业开工有限,市场成效清淡。

                                                                                                                                                                          仓单库存:交易所仓单报684手,0;处于历史低位区域,今日平稳。

                                                                                                                                                                          主力持仓:主力合约前20名多头持仓为134774,-12630,空头持仓为127590,-5396,净多持仓为7184,-7234。

                                                                                                                                                                          总结:PP1905震荡走低,成交量大幅上升,持仓量则继续大幅减少,尾盘虽勉强站上20日均线,但短期走势已转弱。基本面上,长假期间原油震荡走弱,且石化企业春节累库明显,对PP的价格形成压制,且长假刚过,部分下游企业仍未复工,导致下游需求仍较弱也对PP形成压制。预计后市或将以石化企业去库存行情为主。

                                                                                                                                                                          技术上看,PP1905合约减仓回落,价格重回20日线附近,短期走势仍弱。指标上看,MACD在中位走平,KDJ中位纠结,显示短线维持区间震荡格局。建议投资继续在8650--8850区间交易为宜。 

                                                                                                                                                                          瑞达期货化工小组

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